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Tropical Storm GILMA Forecast Advisory Number 5

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 080848
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM GILMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072012
0900 UTC WED AUG 08 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.1W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 116.1W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 115.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 16.2N 117.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 16.8N 118.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 17.4N 119.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 17.9N 120.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 18.7N 121.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 19.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 20.0N 122.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 116.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
 
 

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