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Tropical Storm HECTOR Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN AUG 12 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 120830
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM HECTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082012
0900 UTC SUN AUG 12 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.4W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......130NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.4W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 109.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 18.7N 110.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 18.5N 111.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.5N 112.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 109.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

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