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Tropical Storm ILEANA Forecast Advisory Number 17

Issued at 2100 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 312033
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092012
2100 UTC FRI AUG 31 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 116.1W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.4N 116.1W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 115.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.8N 117.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 23.3N 118.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.6N 120.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 23.8N 122.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 24.0N 125.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 24.0N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 23.5N 132.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.4N 116.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

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