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Tropical Storm ILEANA Forecast Advisory Number 20

Issued at 1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011438
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092012
1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 118.6W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 118.6W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.0N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 23.1N 120.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 23.2N 122.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 23.0N 124.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.8N 125.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.5N 129.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 22.0N 132.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.0N 118.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 

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