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Tropical Storm ILEANA Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 1500 UTC TUE AUG 28 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 281438
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092012
1500 UTC TUE AUG 28 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.8W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 109.8W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 109.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 16.5N 111.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 17.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 114.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 19.0N 114.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 20.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 22.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 23.0N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 109.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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