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Tropical Storm ILEANA Forecast Advisory Number 8

Issued at 1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2012

000
WTPZ24 KNHC 291430
TCMEP4
 
TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092012
1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 112.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 300SE  60SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 112.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 112.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 19.0N 113.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 20.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 21.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 21.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 23.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 23.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 24.0N 126.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N 112.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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