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Tropical Storm JOHN Forecast Advisory Number 3

Issued at 0900 UTC MON SEP 03 2012

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 030845
TCMEP5
 
TROPICAL STORM JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102012
0900 UTC MON SEP 03 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......180NE   0SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 270SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 111.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N 111.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...180NE   0SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.7N 115.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.8N 117.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N 118.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 25.0N 121.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N 123.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 111.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 

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