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Tropical Storm KRISTY Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 130845
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF KRISTY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 108.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 70NE  70SE   0SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 108.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 108.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 19.0N 109.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.6N 111.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.5N 112.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.7N 114.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.9N 118.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 25.0N 120.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 25.5N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 

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