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Tropical Storm KRISTY Forecast Advisory Number 5

Issued at 1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2012

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 131431
TCMEP1
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112012
1500 UTC THU SEP 13 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 109.3W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 109.3W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.5N 110.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.2N 112.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 24.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 25.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 26.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 109.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 

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