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Tropical Storm LANE Forecast Advisory Number 3

Issued at 0300 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 160250
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122012
0300 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 124.1W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 124.1W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 123.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 13.7N 124.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 14.5N 126.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 15.6N 127.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.9N 128.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 19.3N 129.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 20.0N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 19.5N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 124.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 

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