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Tropical Storm LANE Forecast Advisory Number 4

Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 160851
TCMEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM LANE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122012
0900 UTC SUN SEP 16 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 124.5W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  45SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 124.5W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 124.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.0N 125.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 14.9N 126.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.2N 127.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.8N 128.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 20.0N 130.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 20.0N 132.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 19.5N 137.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 124.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

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