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Tropical Storm MIRIAM Forecast Advisory Number 19

Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2012

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 261448
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132012
1500 UTC WED SEP 26 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 115.7W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 115.7W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 115.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.9N 115.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 22.0N 116.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.6N 116.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.2N 117.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 23.4N 117.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 115.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 

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